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Old 11-26-2007, 07:22 PM   #1
jczeroman
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Default Final Week: Netphoria NCAA Top 25 football predictions

Well, here we are. End of the regular season. After this I have to figure out some way of weighing things. It will probably be somewhere between a perfect weight ([total games predicted] / [total possible games] x final %) and no weight at all. Or, I might take the hour it takes to weigh the first four weeks separate and multiply by that factor.

Naturally, there will be a bowl tread. I will make it next monday or tuesday along with the final standings.


FINAL WEEK GAMES
No. 1 Missouri vs. No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 2 West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
No. 6 Virginia Tech vs. No. 11 Boston College
No. 7 LSU vs. No. 14 Tennessee
No. 8 USC vs. UCLA
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
No. 13 Arizona State vs. Arizona
No. 17 Oregon vs. Oregon State
No. 19 Brigham Young at San Diego State


TOP FIVE
1. sppunk 199-57 .777
2. mv2007 147-44 .769
3. jczeroman 181-58 .757
4. eulogy 189-67 .738
5. omegadown3 145-52 .736

--------------------------------------------------
nimrod's son 177-64 .734
kanan road 163-59 734
trotsky*º 188-72 .723
Tchocky 153-59 .721
Corganist 166-67 .712
TuralyonW3 161-68 .703
silent_brian13 157-71 .688
beef curtains±¤ 145-68 .680
wally 67-31 .683
smurfing 33-11 .750

*attempted to cheat in week 1
º denied it in week 2 and whined about it
± best single week record (week 4: 21-1)
¤ worst single week record (week 6: 5-10)

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 07:24 PM   #2
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No. 1 Missouri vs. No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 2 West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
No. 6 Virginia Tech vs. No. 11 Boston College
No. 7 LSU vs. No. 14 Tennessee
No. 8 USC vs. UCLA
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
No. 13 Arizona State vs. Arizona
No. 17 Oregon vs. Oregon State
No. 19 Brigham Young at San Diego State

Oregon gets crushed by Oregon State. Ducks don't manage more than 14 points. And not a single offensive touchdown (special teams or defensive touchdowns only).

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 07:27 PM   #3
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My top-10:

1. West Virginia 10-1
2. Missouri 11-1
3. USC 9-2
4. Georgia 10-2
5. LSU 10-2
6. Kansas 11-1
7. Oklahoma 10-2
8. Ohio State 11-1
9. Arizona State 9-2
10. Virginia Tech 10-2

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 08:40 PM   #4
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No. 1 Missouri vs. No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 2 West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
No. 6 Virginia Tech vs. No. 11 Boston College
No. 7 LSU vs. No. 14 Tennessee
No. 8 USC vs. UCLA
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
No. 13 Arizona State vs. Arizona
No. 17 Oregon vs. Oregon State
No. 19 Brigham Young at San Diego State

I'll miss beating you all for the next few weeks.

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 09:01 PM   #5
Travis Meeks
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Next year you guys should really do all of the predictions against the spread.

/ I Ate My Hamster

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 09:03 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Meeks
Next year you guys should really do all of the predictions against the spread.

/ I Ate My Hamster
i would agonize over that quite a bit. but it would probably be more interesting.

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 09:10 PM   #7
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No. 1 Missouri vs. No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 2 West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
No. 6 Virginia Tech vs. No. 11 Boston College
No. 7 LSU vs. No. 14 Tennessee
No. 8 USC vs. UCLA
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
No. 13 Arizona State vs. Arizona
No. 17 Oregon vs. Oregon State
No. 19 Brigham Young at San Diego State


In other news, Houston Nutt has officially resigned at Arkansas...and I'm not as happy about it as I thought I would be. I know it was time for him to go, but I still can't help but feel bad for the guy losing his dream job and all. And to his credit, he did take Arkansas from the lower tier to the mid tier in the SEC. Hopefully his replacement will be someone good enough to eliminate all these mixed feelings about him leaving.

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 09:25 PM   #8
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Nutt did as good at Arkansas as one can realistically expect. They'll be wishing he was still around when the next coach has them struggling to become bowl eligible.

 
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Old 11-26-2007, 11:07 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sppunk
Nutt did as good at Arkansas as one can realistically expect. They'll be wishing he was still around when the next coach has them struggling to become bowl eligible.
Arkansas was going to struggle to be bowl eligible the next couple years regardless of whether or not Nutt stayed. They're losing way too much talent, and their schedule both in and out of conference gets considerably harder than it was this year. That's one reason so many Arkansas fans were especially upset this year. With McFadden and Jones still in the fold, and an easy OOC schedule, we thought this would be our last good chance for a while to be competitive in the SEC/BCS mix. And I think the season has borne that out largely. There was one game Arkansas didn't have a chance in, and that was at Tennessee. Every other loss was the result of a blown late 4th quarter lead. By all rights Arkansas should be 11-1 right now, and the fact that they aren't is Houston Nutt's fault.

But I disagree that Nutt did as well as can be realistically expected. People like to act like Arkansas has overperformed under Nutt, but if anything, the opposite is true. The problem with Nutt is not that he couldn't field competitive teams. He could. He just tended to coach them out of winnable games. For every big win like the one at LSU, there are 3 or 4 games where Nutt's teams just couldn't seal the deal against equal or lesser competition. It'll be a while before Arkansas will have the cards in place to compete in the SEC again, but maybe when that time comes they'll have a coach who can capitialize when he has talent at hand.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 02:35 AM   #10
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Missouri
West Virginia
Boston College
LSU
USC
Hawaii
Arizona State
Oregon State
Brigham Young

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 03:19 AM   #11
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No. 1 Missouri vs. No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 2 West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
No. 6 Virginia Tech vs. No. 11 Boston College
No. 7 LSU vs. No. 14 Tennessee
No. 8 USC vs. UCLA
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
No. 13 Arizona State vs. Arizona
No. 17 Oregon vs. Oregon State
No. 19 Brigham Young at San Diego State

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 11:01 AM   #12
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Chase Daniel's performance Saturday makes me want to pick Mizzou. aaarrrrgggggh.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 11:30 AM   #13
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whoa, Nutt to Ole Miss already.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:05 PM   #14
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Also, I think McFadden is amazing.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:12 PM   #15
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What??? Why is everyone picking oregon state over oregon??

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:18 PM   #16
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because dixon is out and everyone else that plays quarterback for them is apparently terrible.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:20 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Corganist
By all rights Arkansas should be 11-1 right now, and the fact that they aren't is Houston Nutt's fault.
I read a column on ESPN the other day that mentioned psycho fan expectations at Arkansas, and I thought immediately of you.

Texas should be undefeated right now if I had a total disconnect with reality. Maybe in our little fantasy world they'd be playing Arkansas for the national title.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:22 PM   #18
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No. 1 Missouri vs. No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 2 West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
No. 6 Virginia Tech vs. No. 11 Boston College
No. 7 LSU vs. No. 14 Tennessee
No. 8 USC vs. UCLA
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
No. 13 Arizona State vs. Arizona
No. 17 Oregon vs. Oregon State
No. 19 Brigham Young at San Diego State

I'll miss these threads.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:28 PM   #19
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because oregon just lost to ucla. they're down to their fourth string quarterback or something like that.

edit: what was said above was in response to beef curtains.

i would imagine that usc's offensive line won't have trouble protecting booty this year, so it will likely be a slaughter like it was two years ago. besides, even if ucla were fast enough, i don't think they hit hard enough. and ben olsen is just a shitty quarterback. i would potentially have some hope for us if cowan were healthy and playing, but that's not the case. this saturday is going to be full of poorly thrown balls (either too high or too low) and bad mental mistakes (i bet he'll throw into double and triple coverage) which will lead to a few picks. jay norvell, the offensive coordinator, will hopefully realize how shitty olsen is by this point, and then ucla's offense will rest on a now-healthy chris markey. oh well, at least our kicker is decent, although i don't think he's quite as good as medlock was in the last couple of years. also, i think either horton or keyes is injured, and said defensive backs are the cornerstone of our defense. usc will probably attempt to ensure that bruce davis doesn't sack booty, so he's not going to look as good as he usually does. i'll be pleased if we get ten points on the board and hold 'sc to under thirty. won't happen.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:49 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trotskilicious
I read a column on ESPN the other day that mentioned psycho fan expectations at Arkansas, and I thought immediately of you.

Texas should be undefeated right now if I had a total disconnect with reality. Maybe in our little fantasy world they'd be playing Arkansas for the national title.
I'm on solid ground here.

The Alabama loss: Arkansas has the ball and a 4 point lead with 4 minutes left. Nutt calls a PASS on third and long, which was incomplete and stopped the clock with 2 minutes left. And because Nutt decided not to run the clock there, Alabama scores the game winning TD with 8 seconds left.

The Kentucky loss: Arkansas has an 8 point lead with 11 minutes left. Kentucky is held to a FG attempt, which they miss. But for some reason Nutt decided to send two outside guys to rush the kicker (something you never do)...and one knocks the other into the kicker. That leads to a roughing the kicker call that turns a game changing defensive stop into a TD drive for UK, flipping the momentum.

The Auburn loss: Arkansas takes their first lead of the game 7-6 with 1:30 remaining. Inexplicably, Nutt decides to pooch kick it (which our kickoff guy sucks at, to be quite frank) to around the Auburn 35. The kick goes out of bounds. Auburn takes the penalty, and Arkansas rekicks. AND THEY DID THE POOCH KICK AGAIN! Only this time, Auburn's guy gets a return on it out to the 50. One decent offfensive gain later, and Auburn kicks the game winning FG.

I don't think I'm a nut for thinking that these three games were winnable, and were lost by poor coaching decisions. I don't expect Arkansas to go 11-1 every year, or even every 5 years. I didn't even expect it this year. But I expected better than having to pull off an upset at LSU to even get to a mildly respectable 8-4. Seeing the way the Hogs lost this year, I don't think that was too much to ask.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:54 PM   #21
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any team that could really go 11-1 doesn't play this many close games that are won/lost on a single call. just ask LSU.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 01:55 PM   #22
Corganist
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Eulogy
whoa, Nutt to Ole Miss already.
Yeah. I suddenly don't feel so sorry for the guy anymore. I was kinda sad to see him go, and I was gonna root for him wherever he ended up. But after giving us the whole spiel on how much he loves the Razorbacks and how he'll always be a Hog and all that jazz, to go to not only another SEC school, but one in the same division where he has to play Arkansas every year? That's pretty nervy. Obviously, his ego has not taken much of a hit.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 02:01 PM   #23
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he'll be probably more happy there since expectations are much lower

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 02:02 PM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trotskilicious
any team that could really go 11-1 doesn't play this many close games that are won/lost on a single call. just ask LSU.
You have a point. But you still can't tell me that Arkansas fans should somehow be happy with Nutt barely making it to 8-4 with this team. Just McFadden and Jones in the backfield alone should have been good for 9 wins.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 02:22 PM   #25
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i dunno you weren't happy with 10-2 last year so i think you're fucking crazy

as a texas fan, I'm happy with 9-3 but I can't take losing to Texas A&M much longer.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 02:28 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trotskilicious
i dunno you weren't happy with 10-2 last year so i think you're fucking crazy

as a texas fan, I'm happy with 9-3 but I can't take losing to Texas A&M much longer.
I was happy with 10-2 last year. I just wasn't happy when 10-1 turned into 10-4 by the end of the year. It was still a pretty good year, but ending on a three game losing streak (all very winnable games against top 5 teams) was very disappointing. Even winning one of those might have made things okay.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 09:21 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beef curtains
What??? Why is everyone picking oregon state over oregon??
Because Oregon is total garbage right now. Oregon State's offense is as well right now as well, actually - they don't have their 1st string RB or QB either and last year's all-pac-10 receiver is out as well.

So it comes down to this:
• Oregon State can throw with the #2 QB (actually challenged for the start at the beginning of the year)
• OS defense is better than UO defense
• Oregon has lost 3 QBs, 1 RB, 3 WR and can't put together an offensive drive of more than 5 plays

It's sad, because UO my still go to a mid-tier bowl when really they would get plastered by about every team in the Pac-10 right now including Stanford or WSU.

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 10:50 PM   #28
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FINAL WEEK GAMES
No. 1 Missouri vs. No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 2 West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
No. 6 Virginia Tech vs. No. 11 Boston College
No. 7 LSU vs. No. 14 Tennessee
No. 8 USC vs. UCLA
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
No. 13 Arizona State vs. Arizona
No. 17 Oregon vs. Oregon State
No. 19 Brigham Young at San Diego State

who the fuck is omegadown and how did he knock me out of the top 5

 
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Old 11-27-2007, 11:14 PM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nimrod's Son
No. 12 Hawaii vs. Washington
this would make me go

 
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Old 11-28-2007, 02:11 PM   #30
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by the way, the irony:

Some of you said that Tennessee's loss to Cal was fine as it was the fifth best SEC team losing to the second best Pac-10 team. But actually Tennessee is now the 2nd best SEC team and Cal is the fifth best Pac-10 team.

 
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