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01-12-2010, 12:59 AM | #1 |
Socialphobic
Posts: 11,831
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the all-purpose 2010 midterm discussion thread
Can I do this? I think I will
All gloating and panicking and depressing poll numbers go here |
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01-12-2010, 01:29 AM | #2 |
Immortal
Location: like liutenant dan i'm rollin'
Posts: 21,016
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cue sppunk predicting apocalypse
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01-12-2010, 03:05 AM | #3 |
The Man of Tomorrow
Posts: 26,965
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I'll put it at 50-50 that we lose the house and I die of a laughing fit.
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01-12-2010, 03:06 AM | #4 |
The Man of Tomorrow
Posts: 26,965
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Dont know about the Senate.
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01-12-2010, 03:15 AM | #5 |
Socialphobic
Posts: 11,831
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nah I think they have to lose 40 seats to lose the house. 11 to lose the senate. Neither scenario is likely ... Yet
Last edited by Order 66 : 01-12-2010 at 03:21 AM. |
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01-12-2010, 04:18 AM | #6 |
Just Hook it to My Veins!
Location: N3t4Euh Haus
Posts: 32,752
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dems win additional seats in both houses of congress
obama's blackshirts randomly select 10 republican congressmen and have them executed on their knees on the steps of the capitol as retribution for healthcare you heard it here first |
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01-12-2010, 04:44 AM | #7 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 3,520
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the picture won't really become clear until summer, too many variables at this point
my ballpark would be dems losing about 10 house seats and maybe 1-2 senate seats as the average result but it could move in either direction, though having a net gain in the house is pretty hard since they're kind of at a high water mark after two consecutive waves of gains |
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01-12-2010, 05:18 AM | #8 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 3,520
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definite dem pickups in the house:
DE-AL LA-02 IL-10 definite republican pickups in the house: LA-03 TN-06 |
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01-12-2010, 05:27 AM | #9 |
Immortal
Posts: 20,964
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Can't wait for the campaigns...
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01-12-2010, 01:08 PM | #10 |
Just Hook it to My Veins!
Location: N3t4Euh Haus
Posts: 32,752
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if the republicans win any seats back obama will declare martial law and dissolve the legislature. in its place? death panels.
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01-12-2010, 10:08 PM | #11 |
Master of Karate and Friendship
Location: in your butt
Posts: 72,975
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I expect a false flag event before the elections that Obama can rally his people behind
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01-13-2010, 01:46 AM | #12 |
Just Hook it to My Veins!
Location: N3t4Euh Haus
Posts: 32,752
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laugh it up while you can. there may soon come a day when freethinkers like yourself are relegated to Obama's off-the-record underground vaults, secret banks of human dissent and liberty; unlicensed to breathe the free air and taste the bittersweet passage of time, powerless to love or hope or feel grief's sting, unable to hear the euphonious voice of the wind in the trees at night, impotent even to cry out in your desolation and heartache, and the sweet sensation of the light of the sun on your face will be as remote and alien as the beams of a cold and distant star.
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01-13-2010, 02:04 AM | #13 |
The Man of Tomorrow
Posts: 26,965
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can we get red scarlet back please, this is painful.
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01-14-2010, 01:11 AM | #14 | |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 3,520
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here's some actual content, which makes some points worth thinking over. my first reaction to the poll when i heard about it yesterday was, OK, so maybe freshman dems in districts that have been trending purple aren't in bad shape. but there's some different dynamics at work for Kissell.
Poll: Most Voters Don't Know NC Dem Kissell Opposed Health Care Bill -- But No-Vote Helps Him Anyway | TPMDC Quote:
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01-14-2010, 03:54 AM | #15 |
Socialphobic
Posts: 11,831
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I hope Harold ford decides not to run for gilibrand's seat. dude is a moron kinda
"I shoot guns at things that can't shoot back!" |
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01-14-2010, 01:59 PM | #16 |
Master of Karate and Friendship
Location: in your butt
Posts: 72,975
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The Ford family only takes a back seat to the Kennedys when it comes to corruption
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01-15-2010, 01:36 PM | #17 | |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 2,559
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Suffolk University poll: Scott Brown up by 4 - Jessica Taylor - POLITICO.com
Quote:
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01-15-2010, 06:42 PM | #18 |
The Man of Tomorrow
Posts: 26,965
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that laughing fit might come earlier than I thought.
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01-16-2010, 12:22 AM | #19 |
Banned
Location: stay, far, away
Posts: 8,986
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01-16-2010, 02:13 PM | #20 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 2,559
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01-16-2010, 03:45 PM | #21 |
The Man of Tomorrow
Posts: 26,965
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Would xmas be coming early, or late? Still Jan, so I'm going with late.
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01-17-2010, 08:33 AM | #22 |
Socialphobic
Posts: 11,831
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As of right now MA is purely a toss up. Take away that suffolk poll and whatshername is ahead.
Hopefully more polls will come out today. Its really hard to tell what's going on ... But its a special election go figure |
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01-17-2010, 09:13 AM | #23 | |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 3,520
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I still think Coakley will win but probably with a number in the 51-53 range
PPP blog from Saturday: Quote:
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01-17-2010, 01:23 PM | #24 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 2,559
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I just want it to be Tuesday. This is driving me crazy.
If Brown wins, I do not trust Senate leadership to grow a pair and use reconciliation. I know some important Democrats have been saying they have a backup plan, but I won't believe a single word of it until I see it actually happen. Really, win or lose, this points to a much larger problem -- Congressional Democratic leadership, particularly in the Senate. The don't have the balls to use reconciliation, change the rules of their caucus to make it operate more like the GOP's (which is much more efficent in todays cut-throat political environment), or kill the filibuster (which, again, I think the Republicans will do once they have majority status someday). It's pretty upsetting, because whether it happens on Tuesday or on the fall, Democrats will lose their precious 60 seat majority. They can continue acting like they won't, but it's inevitable. I truly think Reid's stubbornness and incompetence is going to potentially render Obama into a lame duck not even halfway through his first term. |
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01-17-2010, 02:02 PM | #25 |
Socialphobic
Posts: 11,831
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Quit buying into "Reid has no balls" narrative. I've thoroughly explained there are several factors why HC ended up the way it did. And it has little to do with incompetence on obama and reids part
And this thing will pass. Jesus. they could pass it today is they really wanted |
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01-17-2010, 04:07 PM | #26 |
The Man of Tomorrow
Posts: 26,965
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01-17-2010, 05:54 PM | #27 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 2,559
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CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - Sources: Obama advisers believe Coakley will lose - Blogs from CNN.com
Even Obama's advisors think she's totally fucked. gg Coakley. Weak-ass candidate. |
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01-18-2010, 12:16 AM | #28 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 3,520
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PPP:
Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 51-46 in our final Massachusetts Senate poll, an advantage that is within the margin of error for the poll. |
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01-18-2010, 01:02 AM | #29 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 2,559
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Game over.
Obama's gonna be a one-term President |
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01-19-2010, 05:57 AM | #30 |
Socialphobic
Posts: 11,831
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Reagan got boned during his midterms and polled in the 40s his first year. A lot of republicans themselves thought he was a one termer and faced a primary challenge.
I'm not trying to spin this though. This is pretty bad. Like really really bad. But almost 20% of the country is jobless so it's kind of a miracle things have held up as good as they have Like hunter Thompson said, buy the ticket, take the ride. It was never going to be easy. |
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