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03-13-2017, 11:36 PM | #211 |
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Posts: 21,169
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ahh didn't even notice the score. tough luck.
If you wanna win in the NBA you have to bet the opposite of what the line would indicate. Most would think "ahhhhhh 13 points, way too much for Denver, LA should cover that"... WRONG that lines telling you it's gonna be a blowout in Denvers favor. Don't try and bet on how you "evaluate the players". You do that and you're gonna lose your shirt. You gotta bet strictly on what the line indicates- plain and simple Some games like the one today with Utah and the Clippers are evenly matched with equal money coming in on each side where it's harder to determine a winner. Those are the NBA games that are played "straight up" and without a fix in my opinion. |
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03-13-2017, 11:38 PM | #212 |
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Location: I believe in the transcendental qualities of friendship.
Posts: 39,439
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56% of the time the fix is in every time
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03-13-2017, 11:43 PM | #213 |
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Posts: 21,169
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doesn't make sense bro....
Since you're a self confessed NBA junkie, I'd challenge you to correctly predict the outcome of more games than I do. Don't you see in this thread how day in and day out I correctly predict when crappy teams are going to beat good teams? That is no fluke Trotsky. But you know what? 90% of the betting "squares" as I call em are emptying their bank accounts on the "better team" and screaming to the heavens when they lose. They can't believe their "bad luck"... While the people like me who are in on the scam are laughing it up counting our easily earned profits. |
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03-13-2017, 11:45 PM | #214 |
Minion of Satan
Posts: 6,781
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You totally leant on psychology when confronted with a multiple choice quiz in school, didn't you?
I mean, they're obviously not going to place two B answers in a row. Come on, now. P.S. Can we get an update on your competition standing? |
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03-13-2017, 11:48 PM | #215 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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lol hit a little bump in the road. Problem is I guess that I'm picking a lot more outcomes than what I'm actually wagering on
Rank Member W-L-T % Units Profile Status 1 Smalltime808 414-313-11 56.95% +32920 View 2 yawnef 411-322-10 56.07% +28400 View Pending 3 chuckywho 295-232-15 55.98% ***9020 View Pending 4 jwheels 201-149-6 57.43% ***8550 View Pending 5 Vicktimizers 362-296-14 55.02% ***8200 View Pending 6 junko25 292-235-14 55.41% ***6750 View Pending 7 dawiz 303-247-11 55.09% ***5650 View Pending 8 millard 398-334-14 54.37% ***5300 View Pending 9 prostuntman 87-53-3 62.14% ***4350 View 10 tuanycoolio 331-275-11 54.62% ***4250 View 34 Fuzzrod 106-80-1 56.99% +9560 View Pending Still, 34th out of 10 000 people is pretty legit I think. |
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03-14-2017, 12:09 AM | #216 |
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Location: stay, far, away
Posts: 8,986
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Yes, it is. And your 57% (basically) has been consistently ahead of the top ten. You get to 60% for a good stretch fuzzy, get one of those radio shows on the weekends.
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03-14-2017, 12:13 AM | #217 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Yeah man, I think next year I'm gonna make some new handle, and have a website ready to roll out and get some people attentions on the forums by giving away the picks, and once I have a bunch of followers I will announce that I'm leaving to roll out a modest monthly subscription model. Just something like 40-50 bucks a month to start off with. And If I only have 15 people sign up, that's some pretty good additional scratch per month
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03-14-2017, 12:51 AM | #218 |
Apocalyptic Poster
Posts: 1,764
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Count me in
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03-14-2017, 01:22 PM | #219 |
Socialphobic
Location: I’ve been trying to move to the Nordic countries for 5 years but the cost is astronomical to become an expatriate
Posts: 14,679
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03-14-2017, 06:29 PM | #220 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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could you ever just post some gifs with some female eye-candy prancing around or something?
What is wrong with you? |
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03-14-2017, 06:30 PM | #221 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Got some NCAAB action tonight
Illinois -9. Way too high of a line, everyones betting on Valparaiso. So I do the opposite |
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03-14-2017, 06:35 PM | #222 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Got another one Clemson -10.5.
Same reason for wagering as the pick above. Pretty simple strategy eh ladies? |
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03-14-2017, 06:35 PM | #223 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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actually, I'm not as confident in Clemson as I am Illinois... So bet accordingly
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03-14-2017, 06:37 PM | #224 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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actually, Clemons burned me a bunch of times... Subtract it from my picks unless you wanna get a little dangerous
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03-14-2017, 06:37 PM | #225 | |
Socialphobic
Location: Away
Posts: 11,398
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Quote:
We got males available though! https://img05.rl0.ru/a2026002fe504c0...fjQ4/giphy.gif |
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03-14-2017, 06:37 PM | #226 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Got one more UTAH -12
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03-14-2017, 06:38 PM | #227 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Come on Labelle. I'm respectful to whomever it turns on, but to my eyes: It's gross
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03-14-2017, 06:39 PM | #228 |
Socialphobic
Location: Away
Posts: 11,398
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Lots of things are gross to me, but that doesn't stop people from posting/saying/doing those things.
Guess we both have to learn to live with it. |
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03-14-2017, 06:39 PM | #229 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Yeah minus clemson.
TWO FINAL PICKS ILLIONOIS -9 UTAH -12 |
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03-14-2017, 06:40 PM | #230 | |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Quote:
But does it really have to be a focal point in my basketball thread? Time and place and all that jazz |
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03-14-2017, 06:42 PM | #231 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Got an NBA
BROOKLYN -6.5 |
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03-14-2017, 06:44 PM | #232 |
Banned
Location: somerville, nj
Posts: 23,382
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03-14-2017, 06:47 PM | #233 |
Banned
Location: I believe in the transcendental qualities of friendship.
Posts: 39,439
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eye candy is one of the grossest phrases
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03-14-2017, 06:50 PM | #234 |
Socialphobic
Location: Away
Posts: 11,398
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yes indeedy
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03-14-2017, 07:19 PM | #235 |
Minion of Satan
Posts: 6,781
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Thanks to your tips, fuzz, I've cleared over two grand for the week and couldn't help but rub it in the faces of the friends that questioned my trust in you.
http://i.imgur.com/uDFahRX.gif |
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03-14-2017, 07:53 PM | #236 |
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Location: stay, far, away
Posts: 8,986
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03-14-2017, 08:02 PM | #237 |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Same philosophy that I use in NBA.
Look for a line that doesn't make sense by my analysis... The college games I bet tonight I felt that they shouldn't be favored by nearly as much as they are. I figured Illinois should maybe be a 3-4 point favorite, so seeing that Vegas had the line as -9 and seeing 70% of the betting public on Valparaiso showed me that Vegas was expecting an Illinois blow-out. Thus I bet accordingly. At half-time Illinois has a comfortable 17 point lead. I feel good about it. Same theory for why I bet Utah... and I did put a little bit on Clemson for the same reason, but decided to leave it off the forum because they might not cover, and I don't want that to be used as ammo and insults against me. I mostly only wanna post picks here that I'm 85% sure will win. |
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03-14-2017, 08:04 PM | #238 | |
Banned
Posts: 21,169
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Quote:
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03-14-2017, 08:19 PM | #239 | |
Socialphobic
Location: I’ve been trying to move to the Nordic countries for 5 years but the cost is astronomical to become an expatriate
Posts: 14,679
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Quote:
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03-14-2017, 08:21 PM | #240 | |
Socialphobic
Location: I’ve been trying to move to the Nordic countries for 5 years but the cost is astronomical to become an expatriate
Posts: 14,679
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