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Old 08-18-2017, 07:19 PM   #91
duovamp
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Buccos are going to lose. They always lose.
Who's surprised.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 01:19 AM   #92
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Got a pick for today:

Minnesota +3.5
Minnesota Vikings 13
Seattle Seahawks 20


 
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Old 08-19-2017, 02:18 AM   #93
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let me be frank guys, losing 150 dollars in a night is never a good thing, but I still have over 1K set aside strictly for my current gambling expeditions. (and even if I lost all of that I still have money in the bank to re-up my account)

Of course losing over 10% of your allocated gambling bankroll in 1 night is bad strategy, but that was the worst night I've had in ages.
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All that aside though. I have a surefire winner for you all tomorrow night.
Just so you know, I'm borrowing heavily from your story as I write the cliché-based tale of a gambling addict on a downward trajectory.

This isn't a request for permission, mind you. I'll just slot in one of those disclaimers about coincidental likeness and rename the character to Mateo.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 04:57 AM   #94
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this is so sad.
not a lesson learned.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 07:54 AM   #95
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Just so you know, I'm borrowing heavily from your story as I write the cliché-based tale of a gambling addict on a downward trajectory.

This isn't a request for permission, mind you. I'll just slot in one of those disclaimers about coincidental likeness and rename the character to Mateo.
This is JUST like that Sopranos storyline where Jon Favreau steals Chrissy's anecdotes for use in his own script!

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 05:09 PM   #96
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another great piece of wisdom from one of the brightest minds in sports handicapping:

"I found out that betting with the books is very profitable and going against the is very risky. So, when someone tells me that he just found a flow in a line set by the books and is going to take an advantage of it - I'm very skeptical about it and take some time to check how is that possible. True, that occurs from time to time, but it is much safer to roll with the books on their side than against them. So, when the line opens at -6.5 and goes down to -5.5 despite the public being all over the favorite team thinking he has a steal here - I'm checking and rechecking that to find out if there's a reason for that. I'm trying to say here what most of you may already know - the pick you didn't lose is as sweet as the one you won!"
let's never forget that fuzzy quoted himself and called himself one of the brightest minds in sports handicapping

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 05:33 PM   #97
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you're not betting on exhibition games are ya fuzz...? oh lord. look, just bet against the baseball Giants right now, that should work until the NFL regular season gets going.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 08:05 PM   #98
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Having a "gambling budget" doesn't exactly work if you end up dipping into the rest of your funds, just sayin'.
True, But I don't expect that I'm gonna need too. I haven't in like a year and a half.

I do really need Washington to win by 4 or more... If they can't cover I might just take a break until regular season football begins.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 08:06 PM   #99
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Who's surprised.
Nice call man. If you ever wanna shoot the shit about sports, I'm all ears. There's no better sports fan to learn from than someone who lives in the particular region of a team.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 08:09 PM   #100
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Jesus, I can't imagine throwing $1,000 at nothing. That shit makes my stomach turn. No wonder you drink so much, fuzzzzz.
No ones throwing a grand at nothing. I've lost about 220 dollars over a horrible streak... But it's the dog-days of summer for baseball, and games are really unpredictable. And I won big money last year by betting on pre-season football, so I'm trying to repeat it, but it's thus far not looking good.

Last year during one week of pre-season play I did a 30 dollar lottery ticket in a pool and won 2200$ I was literally only 1 point off in a game from making 44K. Cause in this contest you pick whether it'll be a win (which is 4 or more) a tie (which is within 3) and a team I needed to win by 4 won by 3.

Still a nice pay-day though.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 08:13 PM   #101
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This isn't a request for permission, mind you. I'll just slot in one of those disclaimers about coincidental likeness and rename the character to Mateo.
Sounds just like Daniel Baldwin in Christophers movie "Cleaver"

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 08:16 PM   #102
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you're not betting on exhibition games are ya fuzz...? oh lord. look, just bet against the baseball Giants right now, that should work until the NFL regular season gets going.
Yeah man... If I lose my Washington bet today, I'm done for the pre-season.

Last year I did really well, and found the games to be more fixed than anything... But yes, this year I'm starting to doubt my tactics... Still early though. We'll see what happens.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 08:24 PM   #103
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this is so sad.
not a lesson learned.
Whatever man, that was like 4 years ago. Who cares?

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 09:13 PM   #104
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fuzzy, if you don't want to post your in depth wins/loses, why not create a symbolic currency and keep us afloat with amounts gained/lost? like say $30 is 1 fuzzy dollar. you do all your pics etc and say, i lost .4 fuzzy dollars today. so we can keep track that way? we don't ever have to know what 1 fuzzy dollar is equal to

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 09:20 PM   #105
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Yeah. Once the NFL season starts I'm going to start fresh with an "NFL SEASON BETTING THREAD"... In order to wipe this record clean and to start over... and I'll bet 100, 200, 300 'fundamental' units that best represent how hard I'm going at things, and I have no doubt in my mind that big money will be won.

Let's put it this way, if no profit is to be made as a whole on the season, you guys can ban me.

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 09:46 PM   #106
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No ones throwing a grand at nothing. I've lost about 220 dollars over a horrible streak... But it's the dog-days of summer for baseball, and games are really unpredictable. And I won big money last year by betting on pre-season football, so I'm trying to repeat it, but it's thus far not looking good.

Last year during one week of pre-season play I did a 30 dollar lottery ticket in a pool and won 2200$ I was literally only 1 point off in a game from making 44K. Cause in this contest you pick whether it'll be a win (which is 4 or more) a tie (which is within 3) and a team I needed to win by 4 won by 3.

Still a nice pay-day though.
How's the taxes

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 10:42 PM   #107
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WASHINGTON REDSKINS -3.5
Packers - 21
Redskins - 17


 
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Old 08-19-2017, 10:42 PM   #108
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6-13

 
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Old 08-19-2017, 11:23 PM   #109
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I'm sure we can trust the fuzzushima prefecture to develop his own pseudo-currency for privacy's sake.

$1.00 won = ƒ1.00 won
$1.00 lost = ƒ0.10 lost

 
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Old 08-20-2017, 02:09 AM   #110
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fuzz you gonna bet on mayweather v mcgregor?

 
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Old 08-20-2017, 06:01 PM   #111
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not trying to be a dick to bonz, reprise, or fuzzy, and maybe i'm missing some context from outside this thread, but why would you feel that fuzzy should quantify this stuff for you? and why fuzzy do you post some of it?

you're betting your own money and clearly under no obligation to share anything. so sharing is either altruism, desire for validation, or something i'm missing..

if your strategy is working for you, the winnings should be all the validation you'd need (and as you point out, sharing a successful, repeatable formula would decrease earnings possible for those that know it, and piss off those who helped you develop/learn it)

and if it weren't reliably working in the long run, why prove that? if you were receiving feedback from seasoned and accomplished pros that you incorporate into refining the strategy, that would be one thing, but that's not the case here

just not understanding the premise of this thread

 
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Old 08-20-2017, 07:25 PM   #112
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He talks about it a lot and randomly shares picks without being prodded so why not contain it in one thread and maybe learn something from this savant?

 
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Old 08-20-2017, 07:47 PM   #113
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not trying to be a dick to bonz, reprise, or fuzzy, and maybe i'm missing some context from outside this thread, but why would you feel that fuzzy should quantify this stuff for you? and why fuzzy do you post some of it?

you're betting your own money and clearly under no obligation to share anything. so sharing is either altruism, desire for validation, or something i'm missing..

if your strategy is working for you, the winnings should be all the validation you'd need (and as you point out, sharing a successful, repeatable formula would decrease earnings possible for those that know it, and piss off those who helped you develop/learn it)

and if it weren't reliably working in the long run, why prove that? if you were receiving feedback from seasoned and accomplished pros that you incorporate into refining the strategy, that would be one thing, but that's not the case here

just not understanding the premise of this thread
fuzzy insists that he makes money although he admits he doesn't keep track and mostly loses what he posts about. really i believe the attempt is to show him that he is a gambling addict and fooling himself into thinking he can make a living off of it, which is his 'big dream'

correct me if i'm wrong

 
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Old 08-20-2017, 08:57 PM   #114
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He talks about it a lot and randomly shares picks without being prodded so why not contain it in one thread and maybe learn something from this savant?
basically this.

he literally said preseason nfl is a "cash cow".

he's 2 for 6 on preseason nfl games

 
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Old 08-20-2017, 09:17 PM   #115
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He has repeatedly promised other members that they stand to make a lot of money if they bet on his picks.

I do tend to dream about fuzzy on the regular, though, so it's hard to be sure of what's real.

 
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Old 08-20-2017, 09:31 PM   #116
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More picking on the weak but oboard style

 
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Old 08-21-2017, 07:11 PM   #117
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CLEVELAND BROWNS +2

 
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Old 08-21-2017, 07:12 PM   #118
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LA ANGELS -147

 
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Old 08-21-2017, 09:39 PM   #119
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LA ANGELS -147

 
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Old 08-22-2017, 09:01 PM   #120
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not trying to be a dick to bonz, reprise, or fuzzy, and maybe i'm missing some context from outside this thread, but why would you feel that fuzzy should quantify this stuff for you? and why fuzzy do you post some of it?

you're betting your own money and clearly under no obligation to share anything. so sharing is either altruism, desire for validation, or something i'm missing..

if your strategy is working for you, the winnings should be all the validation you'd need (and as you point out, sharing a successful, repeatable formula would decrease earnings possible for those that know it, and piss off those who helped you develop/learn it)

and if it weren't reliably working in the long run, why prove that? if you were receiving feedback from seasoned and accomplished pros that you incorporate into refining the strategy, that would be one thing, but that's not the case here

just not understanding the premise of this thread
Basically I've made some nice money during the NFL and NBA seasons the past few years and come in and share picks when I think they have a high probability of winning.

I cleaned up in pre-season football last year, so I thought I was onto something, but this year the results couldn't be any different. It is what it is.

It's all a learning experience that I'll take note of and I'll use the experience for next year.

 
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