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Old 09-14-2012, 09:53 PM   #1
mpp
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Cool so, this exists

www.fivethirtyeight.com


yeah the NYT bought it, big woop, wannafightaboutit


still some very solid political science showing the inevitability of four more years

assassins ready your weapons

 
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Old 09-14-2012, 09:57 PM   #2
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lets see your tits

 
Old 09-14-2012, 10:10 PM   #3
Trotskilicious
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evil moslems handed romney a convenient talking point though

 
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Old 09-14-2012, 10:15 PM   #4
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how much of those attacks was the movie and how much is general dislike of the US? i saw a bit of the movie and it seemed pretty rough...but, it's more of an excuse, right?

 
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Old 09-14-2012, 10:30 PM   #5
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lol do you think nuance and truth have any place in campaigning?

 
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Old 09-15-2012, 03:46 AM   #6
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no not at this level

i guess i was just asking what you thought, not how/why the respective campaigns were going to spin it

 
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Old 09-15-2012, 03:00 PM   #7
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it depends how bad the riots escalate in the coming weeks. but i think its ultimately bad for obama because you'll have gas prices rounding out to ~$4 again. i don't really see how the libya attack is romney's "lehman moment" despite the media is pushing that angle

but still, when you erase the convention bounce and bring projections back to summer levels, obama's still favored to win with around 270-290 EVs

 
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