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#1 | |
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Minion of Satan
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Posts: 8,801
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#2 |
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Minion of Satan
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this is shaping up to be pretty interesting. i knew these protests wouldnt at all mobilize people like they did in the ukraine last year, or just otherwise actually bring about any change, because they really dont even have that much popular support, but i really didnt expect it to have even the life its showing to have now. which is like 300 core people, and a few thousand on the first day. the article gets it right calling it a "quixotic struggle" and thats specifically whats so endearing about the whole thing. i think if something like this, even on such a small scale, were to carry for long enough, the trend -- losing more and more people due to the perceived futility of participating -- would actually reverse itself. but only under certain conditions and to a limited extent because there isnt even that much popular antipathy, relatively speaking, towards lukashenko. all of this is very interesting, i think
and its also neat how much the media is taking an active role. the article itself talks about how the security apparatus is slowly picking off protesters for arrest, but only out of the sight of the foreign media, who are congregated in the main square. even one of the oppositions head guys, i forget whom, was picked off this way a few days ago. its incredible that the media can become so much of a participant. i think theyre doing this consciously as well, protecting them and trying to give any speed they can to the demonstrations |
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#3 | |
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Master of Karate and Friendship
![]() Location: in your butt
Posts: 72,943
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#4 |
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Minion of Satan
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says the guy who probably didnt even know what belarus was until this thread. youre outclassed here, child, move along. some people take interest in things outside of their borders, if you could even fathom such a thing
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#5 | |
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Master of Karate and Friendship
![]() Location: in your butt
Posts: 72,943
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#6 |
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CORNFROST
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Posts: 24,891
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I hope they do get a bigger turnout on Saturday - I mean this isn't close to the level of the Ukraine rallies, so I doubt it will even have a direct effect on the government, but if it really does swell in size people will have to take notice. They'll start doubting that these people are all gay and drunk or whatever, and hopefully it will make people start to think - more of them, anyway. Protestors are usually only a fraction of the people who support a cause anyway, so it will be good to see how this pans out
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#7 | |
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CORNFROST
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Oh wait
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#8 | |
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Minion of Satan
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but it stands to be said again that a lot of belarussians actually support lukashenko and their standard of living actually has increased quite a bit since he took power. there isnt really a sense of urgency amongst a lot of people, ive been reading. the people who do oppose him are mostly all students, the educated. there really isnt a common idea that has currency across the board it seems, and thats something youd need to really get going. a viable, but potentially morally wrong, strategy would be to just agitate the government in hopes of provoking some kind of reaction that touches on everyone and can serve to unite people against lukashenko. again, you need a common interest, a common cause |
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#9 | |
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Braindead
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#10 |
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Braindead
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7 miracles of socialism:
1. Everyone's got a job. 2. Although everyone's got a job, no one is doing anything. 3. Although no one is doing anything, plan is met by 100%. 4. Although the plan is met by 100%, all stores are empty. 5. Although the stores are empty, everyone always gets what he needs. 6. Although everyone always gets what he needs, eveyrone is stealing. 7. Despite everyone's stealing, nothing is missing. |
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#11 | |
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Minion of Satan
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what do you think? do you think they would be doing better with someone else, someone more liberal or capitalist? i think the extreme of that that article talked about, the shock therapy approach, is a definite course to failure. im surprised that the economic policies promoted by the west for developing countries have any credibility left right now. i mean, like we were talking about, look at argentina. kirchner payed off the last of argentinas debts to the IMF a month or two ago and he basically is walking away and never coming back. simple as that. |
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#12 |
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Braindead
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I am wondering what the Russia would do. I think Belarus gets a lot of good deals with Russia regarding gas, oil, or electricity now. The West is too far and either way they depend on Russia.
Also, I read that Milinkevich doesn't seem to be any better character than Lukashenko and that he's just good in presenting himself as the only alternative to Lukashenko. That the third runner actually seems to be a honest guy (he is some professor from university), but he got only few votes. We have this saying: Getting from the mud into a puddle. |
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#13 | |
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CORNFROST
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Speaking of Ukraine, that ain't going so well either huh. I heard the Pres has gone crawling back to sassy ex-PM Yulia Tymoshenko to try and form a coalition so the other guy doesn't get voted back in |
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#14 | |
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Braindead
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I really feel sorry for Yushchenko. He seems to be a really good guy, yet everything's falling apart and I don't think it's entirely his fault. He's like Bolivar of Ukraine I think. I am just realizing how everything was relatively easy for us just thanks to the fact we border Germany, that we're so close. But if you're Belarus or Ukraine, you can't ignore Russia - either way they will make you play along their score - there aren't many alternatives - look at Chechnya. Father of my very good friend works in Kazakhstan and that seems to be a pretty dangerous Wild West, too. |
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#15 |
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CORNFROST
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Well apparently him firing the cabinet every month or so didn't help matters, and these were strong measures to help fight corruption which... well, didn't pay off, so really he was taking a big risk and now he's feeling the consequences. It's hard to say what he should have done and if things could have been different, but he hasn't really had time to prove himself. But they reckon Tymoshenko's party is going to hold the balance given the polls, and that's why he's trying to talk her round. Like she says, he doesn't have the option of joining together with Viktor 2, so she holds the cards in this one. Also she's apparently pissed about the firing
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#16 | |
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Minion of Satan
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i think you got it mixed up. the 3rd guy, kozulin, is the creep. hes just a stalking horse and ex-lukashenko adherent. a lot of the opposition hates him, from what ive read |
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#17 | |
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Minion of Satan
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#18 | |
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Minion of Satan
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#19 | |
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Minion of Satan
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ok so there goes the saturday protest. apparently 6000 appeared, which is great for this, but were blocked from entering the square. theres another protest planned for the chernobyl anniversary next month. this quote was funny:
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#20 | ||
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Braindead
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#21 | |
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CORNFROST
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Posts: 24,891
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#22 | |
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Minion of Satan
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im confused to. its hard to weed out the propaganda, on both sides, and the plain ignorance of a lot of people. i read this little essay thing from someone who conducted focus groups in belarus and the guy himself was like "i dont think these people really know anyhting" and he cited two polls questions that polled with a high majority, but were completely contradictory. like something like "i support lukashenko" won 70% and the "i support the opposition" won like 70%. he attributes that to just fear and propaganda produced ignorance, which i dont doubt is the case if i were from belarus id join the movement. i couldnt just sit around while this was going on. this is a relatively new feeling, a few years old perhaps, but i really feel like i have to somehow contribute something tangible and good to this world before i go, and being there at this time would provide a clear opportunity for fulfilling that. i started donating blood every month or so and that takes a bit of the edge of this feeling, but thats obviously not enough. i know it sounds like romanticism or something but its actually just very plain and logical and you know, jan, ive been thinking so much about what you said before about the "its taking food away from your family thing." that is so so so interesting. i dont think you realize it (i forget how much, or if, i said this) but that really revolutionized my view of the matter. i used to just not be able to understand why people opted for that course but now i totally get it. it all makes sense to me now. im just saying |
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#23 | |
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Minion of Satan
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Posts: 8,801
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but im just waiting for that russian porn movie with a look-alike of her having sex with a look alike of him in a helicopter over chechnya. hahah |
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#24 | |
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Braindead
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I am wondering what they would have done this time. |
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#25 |
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Minion of Satan
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oh so youre saying if there was a leadership change in belarus akin to the change in ukraine, right? with a more western oriented leader who russia was annoyed with? in that case, yeah, i imagine they would used their oil and aid as levers, but not anymore because of how badly they got burned with that last time. they learned it doesnt pay to politicize their trade like that. i dont know what theyd do now though. i think theyre working on preventative measures instead. youve seen how tightly russia is being closed down right? how foreign aid groups are being kicked out and laws passed against them and everything? they havent been ignoring whats been going on in their satellite states, theyre wise to these moves by the west
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#26 | ||
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CORNFROST
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Posts: 24,891
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http://www.tymoshenko.com.ua/eng/news/press/2741/ Quote:
http://www.tymoshenko.com.ua/additio...video_big.html I wonder if her site will have a news item about the porn movie release |
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#27 |
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Minion of Satan
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wow, really, the quality of that was pathetic. i thought all of these people were weened on bootlegged special effect laden hollywood movies. they have refined tastes, what is yulia trying to pull with this fuckinh shit? dumb bitch. daft cow
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#28 | |
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Braindead
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I would like to hear her speak English, I can't judge her as a speaker when she speaks in Ukrainian (or is it Russian?). |
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#29 | |
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CORNFROST
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Posts: 24,891
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#30 | |
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CORNFROST
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Posts: 24,891
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