I should also note that the size of a line makes a big difference too. If the line was say USC -2.5 I wouldn't have felt as good about it. But the line was -5.5 which essentially meant that USC would have to win by a touchdown or more. When betting football there's a massive difference between 2.5 and 5.5.
So when a numbers extra large in a teams favor when most people believe it shouldn't be, that's usually a good sign that they'll win by more than the line.
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