[redbreegull]

lol that's not even close to what I am saying but like usual there is probably no way to dumb it down enough for you to understand

when she wins I think you should suck my dick

my point is that it's totally normal for the underdog to overtake the clear frontrunner at certain points in the race, but when you analyze polls at a macro level with an understanding of how they have played out in the past, her early lead shows us what is most likely to happen in november. She's probably gonna win, and it's probably not going to be within a percentage point, it will be a clear victory. Electorally, she is going to clean up. if you are interested in learning how guys like nate silver and co. actually study polls and make predictions, you should go read a book about political poll statistics.