Quote:
Originally Posted by Eulogy
What about USC made you want to make that pick? I know it was right but that screamed Stanford
To me
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Yeah, that's what everyone thought. But even with the high volume of wagers on Stanford, the line kept on moving in USC's favor. That's what is known in the business as "reverse line movement". Theoretically a line should only move in favor of a team if they're getting the majority of the bets, and in this instance it was either big time money was coming in from an expert or Vegas was simply inviting for more people to bet on Stanford knowing full well USC would cover.
Remember, the best way to get a valuable read on an outcome of a game is tracking the line movements in correlation with the public wagers. That'll tell you way more than your personal evaluations.