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-   -   Week 8: Netphoria NCAA Top 25 football predictions (http://forums.netphoria.org/showthread.php?t=151444)

jczeroman 10-15-2007 10:56 AM

Week 8: Netphoria NCAA Top 25 football predictions
 
Every week, I want to keep a record of the predicted winners and losers in the AP top 25. Let's see who actually has the best skill in predicting. I will make this thread at the first half of each college football week, as well as a bowl special thread at the end of the season. Afterwards, I will see if I can compile the records (unless you want to tally your own records and in.clude them each week in your predictions).

It is too late to submit rankings that count in the overall score. I will open it back up for a final when the bowl games come. You can still post yours for bragging rights week to week, but I will not be compiling new entries at this point. I will only compile those who have already been in on one of the first four weeks.

Also, due to the anarchistic nature of this season, I have decided to weigh the final results against total games predicted to offset the inevitable decline of winning % as each week passes. I will do this starting next week to give myself time to figure out how to do this mathematically.


WEEK 8 GAMES
No. 2 South Florida at Rutgers
No. 4 LSU vs. No. 17 Auburn
No. 5 Oklahoma at Iowa State
No. 6 South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
No. 7 Kentucky vs. No. 15 Florida
No. 9 West Virginia vs. Mississippi State
No. 10 Oregon at Washington
No. 12 California at UCLA
No. 13 Kansas at Colorado
No. 14 USC at Notre Dame
No. 16 Missouri vs. No. 24 Texas Tech
No. 19 Virginia at Maryland
No. 21 Tennessee at Alabama
No. 22 Texas at Baylor
No. 23 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
No. 25 Michigan at Illinois


CURRENT TOP FIVE PREDICTORS
1. sppunk 122-26 .824
2. trotsky 119-29 .804 *º
3. mv2007 78-21 .787 ª
4. nimrod's son 104-29 .781
5. omegadown3 96-27 ..780

-----------

jczeroman 115-33 .777
kanan road 114-34
eulogy 113-35
Corganist 95-30
Tchocky 91-32
smurfing 33-11
TuralyonW3 91-31
silent_brian13 88-32
beef curtains 81-41±¤
wally 40-19

*attempted to cheat in week 1
º denied it in week 2 and whined about it
ª no ballot on week five (5 top 10 teams lost and average losses on ballots were 7)
± best single week record (week 4: 21-1)
¤ worst single week record (week 6: 5-10)

jczeroman 10-15-2007 11:04 AM

No. 2 South Florida at Rutgers
No. 4 LSU vs. No. 17 Auburn
No. 5 Oklahoma at Iowa State
No. 6 South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
No. 7 Kentucky vs. No. 15 Florida
No. 9 West Virginia vs. Mississippi State
No. 10 Oregon at Washington
No. 12 California at UCLA
No. 13 Kansas at Colorado
No. 14 USC at Notre Dame
No. 16 Missouri vs. No. 24 Texas Tech
No. 19 Virginia at Maryland
No. 21 Tennessee at Alabama
No. 22 Texas at Baylor
No. 23 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
No. 25 Michigan at Illinois

jczeroman 10-15-2007 11:05 AM

really with almost every ranked team playing on the road, there should be a few more upsets...

Trotskilicious 10-15-2007 11:10 AM

i'm taking colorado to beat kansas, too.

jczeroman 10-15-2007 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trotskilicious
i'm taking colorado to beat kansas, too.

Colorado has been super tough at home and Kansas has shown weak moments away.

Trotskilicious 10-15-2007 11:14 AM

Kansas is really not that great anyway.

silent_brian13 10-15-2007 11:14 AM

i'm in mazatlan mexico. it's hot here and the few americans in town were going apeshit during the LSU game. i wish they had lost last week though...

No. 2 South Florida at Rutgers
No. 4 LSU vs. No. 17 Auburn
No. 5 Oklahoma at Iowa State
No. 6 South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
No. 7 Kentucky vs. No. 15 Florida
No. 9 West Virginia vs. Mississippi State
No. 10 Oregon at Washington
No. 12 California at UCLA
No. 13 Kansas at Colorado
No. 14 USC at Notre Dame
No. 16 Missouri vs. No. 24 Texas Tech
No. 19 Virginia at Maryland
No. 21 Tennessee at Alabama
No. 22 Texas at Baylor
No. 23 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
No. 25 Michigan at Illinois

sppunk 10-15-2007 11:22 AM

No. 2 South Florida at Rutgers
No. 4 LSU vs. No. 17 Auburn
No. 5 Oklahoma at Iowa State
No. 6 South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
No. 7 Kentucky vs. No. 15 Florida
No. 9 West Virginia vs. Mississippi State
No. 10 Oregon at Washington
No. 12 California at UCLA
No. 13 Kansas at Colorado
No. 14 USC at Notre Dame
No. 16 Missouri vs. No. 24 Texas Tech
No. 19 Virginia at Maryland
No. 21 Tennessee at Alabama
No. 22 Texas at Baylor
No. 23 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
No. 25 Michigan at Illinois

Trotskilicious 10-15-2007 11:22 AM

lol @ UCLA pick

come on that team is shit.

sppunk 10-15-2007 11:22 AM

As always those will be modified slightly prior to kickoff Thursday.

silent_brian13 10-15-2007 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trotskilicious
lol @ UCLA pick

come on that team is shit.

eh. this season is a little weird, and they were shit last year when they beat USC. due to my allegiance to the swamp, i owe them this pick because of that very upset.

Trotskilicious 10-15-2007 11:31 AM

they didn't lose to one of the worst teams in football last year, either.

they did this year, get real. California is not going to lose back to back games.

silent_brian13 10-15-2007 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trotskilicious
California is not going to lose back to back games.

you have convinced me.

i'll be shamed if it turns out i should have stuck to my guns.

Trotskilicious 10-15-2007 11:44 AM

um i'd like you to consult the records and see where I'm at in the standings.

silent_brian13 10-15-2007 11:48 AM

3 picks better than i, and i missed the first week.

that's neither here nor there. good job though, .804 is damn good.

jczeroman 10-15-2007 12:49 PM

Also in the conference battle, I think the SEC has parity galore, but the Pac-10 has also demonstrated a lot of parity in the last three weeks, so much so that with that and their top four teams being in tier one, I would put them at number one at this point.

1. Pac-10
2. SEC

3. Big 12
4. Big East

5. Big-10
6. ACC

jczeroman 10-15-2007 12:49 PM

Also, Sagarin has USC at like #23 or something.

bardy 10-15-2007 01:45 PM

woo:

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/column...uce&id=3044646

TuralyonW3 10-15-2007 01:50 PM

No. 2 South Florida at Rutgers
No. 4 LSU vs. No. 17 Auburn
No. 5 Oklahoma at Iowa State
No. 6 South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
No. 7 Kentucky vs. No. 15 Florida
No. 9 West Virginia vs. Mississippi State
No. 10 Oregon at Washington
No. 12 California at UCLA
No. 13 Kansas at Colorado
No. 14 USC at Notre Dame
No. 16 Missouri vs. No. 24 Texas Tech
No. 19 Virginia at Maryland
No. 21 Tennessee at Alabama (Hardest Pick)
No. 22 Texas at Baylor
No. 23 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
No. 25 Michigan at Illinois


Edit: changed illinois pick with reports of Hart playing

I actually won't be shocked if ND upsets USC

Tennesee could light up alabama (who kinda forgot about tough bama dedense this year)

Texas Tech could also light up Mizzou if they're on their game.

Tchocky 10-15-2007 02:01 PM

No. 2 South Florida at Rutgers
No. 4 LSU vs. No. 17 Auburn
No. 5 Oklahoma at Iowa State
No. 6 South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
No. 7 Kentucky vs. No. 15 Florida
No. 9 West Virginia vs. Mississippi State
No. 10 Oregon at Washington
No. 12 California at UCLA
No. 13 Kansas at Colorado
No. 14 USC at Notre Dame
No. 16 Missouri vs. No. 24 Texas Tech
No. 19 Virginia at Maryland
No. 21 Tennessee at Alabama
No. 22 Texas at Baylor
No. 23 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
No. 25 Michigan at Illinois (I hope to God I'm wrong, but I just don't see Michigan winning against a team with a spread offense and a mobile quarterback.)

Trotskilicious 10-15-2007 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jczeroman
Also in the conference battle, I think the SEC has parity galore, but the Pac-10 has also demonstrated a lot of parity in the last three weeks, so much so that with that and their top four teams being in tier one, I would put them at number one at this point.

1. Pac-10
2. SEC

3. Big 12
4. Big East

5. Big-10
6. ACC

damn right about the big 12

i tryta tellum but dey don wanna lissen

sppunk 10-15-2007 02:12 PM

Illinois is a very questionable spread offense after watching Williams last week against Iowa. And Hart will play I'm certain.

Eulogy 10-15-2007 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jczeroman
Also in the conference battle, I think the SEC has parity galore, but the Pac-10 has also demonstrated a lot of parity in the last three weeks, so much so that with that and their top four teams being in tier one, I would put them at number one at this point.

1. Pac-10
2. SEC

you're out of your mind. Stanford beating USC does not indicate parity. see Stanford's loss to TCU.

sppunk 10-15-2007 03:47 PM

Nebraska finally fired their AD. Callahan will be fired at 4 p.m. it appears.

He deserves it.

sppunk 10-15-2007 03:49 PM

I guess this was on SNL last week - it's hilarious (although they got the bowl part wrong, they said 1996 when it actually is 1994).


Eulogy 10-15-2007 04:09 PM

they could have at least used clips from this year. you know, when they're actually horrendous.

sppunk 10-15-2007 04:19 PM

Those are all old clips? That is pretty lame.

jczeroman 10-15-2007 06:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Eulogy
you're out of your mind. Stanford beating USC does not indicate parity. see Stanford's loss to TCU.

I didn't cite Stanford's win over USC. All that means is that USC isn't the best team in the land.

Eulogy 10-15-2007 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jczeroman
I didn't cite Stanford's win over USC. All that means is that USC isn't the best team in the land.

so where are the good teams in the pac-10? Cal and Oregon, sure (was Longshore out for the entire game? i don't even know. if he was, then i'm willing to pretty much overlook that loss).

but look at the SEC. LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Auburn, South Carolina. then in the second tier you have Alabama, Georgia, and Tennessee. I mean....it's just not close, man. i could see your side for a couple weeks there, but not anymore.

Luke de Spa 10-15-2007 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jczeroman
Also, due to the anarchistic nature of this season, I have decided to weigh the final results against total games predicted to offset the inevitable decline of winning % as each week passes. I will do this starting next week to give myself time to figure out how to do this mathematically.

exactly why we need big government


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